What Will Demography Be in 1996?

What is and what will be

This version of What is and what will be has images distributed throughout the text as visual poetry. The images were mostly taken at Esalen Institute near Big Sur California and at my home in the Santa Cruz Mountains near San Jose California. The dolphin pictures and a few others were taken in Hawaii. The images in this version are formatted at 72 dots per inch. This is suitable for viewing on...

Education will be at the heart of 21st century demography

At the end of the last century, Population and Development Review (PDR) published an article with the visionary title “Demographic dimensions in forecasting: adding education to age and sex” (Lutz et al. 1999). In this contribution the authors (W. Lutz, A. Goujon and G. Doblhammer-Reiter) systematically discuss the criteria governing the choice of particular dimensions (i.e. covariates, breakdo...

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Leaders Prion diseases: what will be next?

In recent history there is probably no group of disease that has caused more surprises or shocks than the group of transmissible spongiform encephalopathies, or prion diseases as they have become known. Grouped together on the basis of their neuropathology, showing vacuolation of the neuropil or neurones, or both (spongiform change) (fig 1), they present a variable clinical picture; nevertheles...

What Will the Tourist Be Doing in 2030?

Tourism began when time began. Babylonian money-traders travelled for business, the Egyptian Queen Hatshesput took a cruise along the east coast of Africa and the British aristocracy took Grand Tour of Europe with Thomas Cook in the nineteenth century. Tourism is about experiences, whether exploring an unfamiliar culture, shopping, lying on a beach or enjoying sport in far-flung places — or a l...